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Research

January Inflation: CPI maintained upward trajectory

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

As anticipated, inflation for the month of January ascended by 15bps to 12.13% YoY (vs December: 11.98% YoY) and 4bps shy of our estimate of 12.09% YoY. In our monthly economic update, we highlighted that the low base from food prices would send inflation on an upward trajectory. Unsurprisingly, food inflation rose 18bps to 14.85% YoY, accounting for bulk of the uptick in headline inflation, while core inflation moderately expanded by 3bps to 9.35% YoY. On the former, the pickup was anchored by 29bps and 6bps increase in farm produce and imported food to 15.35% YoY and 16.10% YoY respectively….

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Stock Recommendation for the Week, February 17

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

The Nigerian equities market maintained a downward trend with the ASI, dropping by 1.11% to 27,755.9 pts, with the market capitalization closing at N14.46 trillion as investors lost N162 billion during the prior week. All sectors closed negative WoW except Cement (+0.37%) and Construction (+0.13%). The deterioration was driven by the Food (-7.27%), Brewers (-2.02%), Oil & Gas (-1.34%), Insurance (-0.94%), Telecoms (-0.53%) and Banking (-0.21%) sectors. The key losers are NESTLE (-10.00%), DANGSUGA (-4.10%), GUINNESS (-16.56%) and MTNN (-0.85%), while GTB (+1.36%), BUA CEMENT (+1.13%) and WAPCO (+1.31%) yielded positive returns. • Dangcem– STRONG BUY (FVE: N240.87): DANGCEM’s FY…

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Stock Recommendation for the Week, February 10

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

Last week, the Nigerian bourse witnessed a steep decline as the ASI closed -2.69% WoW, while market capitalization lost N239 billion to close at N14.62 trillion. All sectors closed in red, save the insurance sector (+0.15%). The decline was anchored by the Breweries (-5.62%), Cement (-4.94%), Banking (-2.26%), Oil & Gas (-5.74%), and Telecom (-1.48%) sectors. On stock performance, FBNH (-8.40%), ZENITH (-5.04%), NB (-6.36%), INTBREW (-5.56%), DANGCEM (-5.50%), BUACEMENT (-4.32%) and MTNN (-2.17%) yielded negative returns amongst other stocks. • Dangcem– STRONG BUY (FVE: N240.87): DANGCEM’s FY 19 earnings is expected to be pressured (EPS: N14, vs N22 in…

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Stock Recommendation for the Week, February 03

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

For the first time this year, the equity market closed the prior week on a negative note with the NSE ASI declining by 2.65% to 28,843.53 index points. Loses were observed in the Banking (-6.13%), Cement (-0.90%), Telecom (-2.96%), Personal Care (-13.72%), Food (-0.50%), Oil & Gas (-2.58), and Real Estate (-0.14%) sectors. On the other hand, gains were seen across only the Brewers (4.89%), Construction (2.64%) and Insurance (0.54%) sectors. Major drivers for the week decline were stocks such as; FBNH (-10.27% WoW), STANBIC (-10% WoW), BUACEMENT (-2.12% WoW) and MTNN (-4.32% WoW). • Dangcem– STRONG BUY (FVE: N240.87):…

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Stock Recommendation for the Week, January 13

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

The bullish sentiments continued last week as the NSE ASI gained 9.07% WoW to close at 29,415.39pts while market capitalization advanced significantly by N2.2 trillion. The boost in market capitalization was largely fuelled by the listing of BUA Cement Plc on the NSE. Precisely, it listed 33.86 billion ordinary shares at N35 per share, making it the third largest company on the bourse. On sectoral performance, gains were seen across Cement (+20.59%), Banking (+8.58%), Telecom (+4.37%), Food (+1.59%) and insurance (+0.47%) transcending losses in the Brewers (-0.17%), Personal care (-5.21%) and Oil & Gas (-0.44%) segments. A further probe revealed…

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Stock Recommendation for the Week, December 16, 2019

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

The Nigeria’s bourse closed the prior week negative, shedding 119bps to close at 26,536.21 pts with market capitalization losing N154.1 billion. Last week’s decline was spurred by Telecom (-1.54%), Banking (-1.23%), Cement (-1.80%), Food (-1.27%) and Personal care (-2.61%) sectors. Sell offs were seen in MTNN (-2.29%), GUARANTY (-2.34%), STANBIC (1.90%), UBA (-1.49%), FBNH (-2.26%), DANGCEM (-1.89%), CCNN (-2.08%), UNILEVER (-2.38%) and NESTLE (-3.70%) WoW, muting gains in NB (+2.93%) and GUINNESS (+1.72%) amongst others. • Dangcem– STRONG BUY (FVE: N240.87): DANGCEM’s earnings will be pressured this year (EPS: N14, vs N22 in 2018) owing to lower volumes in Nigeria…

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C&I Leasing Rights Issue FAQ

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C&I Leasing Rights Issue FAQ What is a rights issue? A rights issue is an offering of rights to the existing shareholders of a company that gives them an opportunity to buy additional shares directly from the company at a discounted price rather than buying them in the secondary market. The company issues new shares to the public in order to raise capital. But until the date at which the new shares can be purchased, shareholders may trade the rights on the market the same way that they would trade ordinary shares. Who is C&I Leasing? C & I Leasing Plc is Nigeria’s foremost leasing…

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FGN SAVINGS BOND – DECEMBER 2019 AUCTION

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

The December 2019 Auction opened today December 2, 2019 and closes on Friday, December 6, 2019. Please find the details stated below. N Subject Features 1 2 Year FGN SavingsBond 9.091% per annum 2 3 Year FGN SavingsBond 10.091% per annum 3 Tenor 2 or 3 years 4 Settlement Date Wednesday, December 11, 2019 HOW TO INVEST IN THE FGN SAVINGS BOND Ensure you have a CSCS Account Number with ARM Securities. If you haven’t any, open an account online at ARM Stocktrade or fill this form and submit at any of our offices. Print/download and carefully fill the portions of the FGN Savings Bond application form relevant to you. Transfer the amount you…

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UAC Nigeria Plc. (UACN.NL): Old things have passed away…

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

• In this report, we resume coverage on UACN with a target price of N8.96 which translates to a BUY rating at current price. While UACN’s history of reporting poor operating performance dulled investor’s sentiment, we believe lower finance cost and little or no impairment charge in coming years, post exit from UPDC, supports a rerating. Coupled with recovery in the feeds business, we see improvement in earnings over our forecast period. Comparing 5-year historical average EV/EBITDA of 9.9x, to current level of 3.3x, UACN presents a good entry point on current valuation. At current price and based on our…

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Stock Recommendation for the Week, November 12

By | Ask Shade, Research | No Comments

The Nigerian bourse ended last week in green as gains particularly on Monday (+41bps) and Friday (+48bps) trading muted losses observed every other day of the week. Consequently, the ASI as well as Market Cap increased by 8bps WoW to 26,314.49 pts and N10.3 billion respectively. Banking sector (+8.07%) anchored the gains while other sectors closed negative, with bulk of the decline seen in Personal Care (-20.45%) WoW. On stock performances, ACCESS (+17.95%), FCMB (+16.25%), UBA (+13.79%), GUARANTY (+13.49%), CCNN (+10.06%) recorded gains muting declines in UNILEVER (-26.59%), INTBREW (-25.4%) and DANGCEM (-2.47%) WoW amongst others. • DANGCEM– STRONG BUY…

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